CESS Researcher Roberto Cerina and Director Raymond Duch partnered with UCL Statistics Professor Gianluca Baio to test a novel methodology to estimate constituency-level results from publicly available individual level datasets and publicly available opinion polls. To this end, they produced estimates of vote shares and headline seats for the 2019 UK General Election.
New research by Rodrigo Caputo and Raymond Duch, of the Nuffield Centre for Experimental Social Sciences at the University of Oxford, examines how public opinion of presidential economic policy management is related to consumer sentiment.
Impressive forecasting of Texas Congress District mid-terms by PhD candidate Roberto Cerina. All social media and no polling!
Amma Panin, postdoctoral research officer at CESS will be giving a seminar at the International Institute of Social Studies (ISS), Erasmus University Rotterdam on 30 October 2018.
What will attract the highly-skilled migrants from a post-Brexit UK? This paper examines the migration preferences of potential emigrants from the UK to determine whether the migration calculus is primarily economic or political. This is a CESS working paper. Read abstract and get link to full article here.
Davide Morisi’s research exploring the risk propensity of voters in referendum campaigns has been published in Public Opinion Quarterly. Part of the findings are based on data from experimental studies conducted in collaboration with CESS. Read the abstract and find link to full article here.